All posts by James W. Breckenridge

The problem with democracy is … People.

In reading “Why Old Politicians Shouldn’t Be Running Our City” the thought that came to mind was ‘Wow! I would never have thought that the solution to problems with our democratic government is … less democracy?

Certainly I would never have thought of removing or limiting people’s rights and freedoms as a solution to problems with government.

Of course, as a solution it does beg the question of just who it is that is going to be setting these limits on democracy and removing/limiting our Charter rights and freedoms. And just where do we stop the removal of rights and freedoms?

Or perhaps more importantly: once we permit the removal of rights and freedoms, just how do we stop/avoid having more and more of our rights and freedoms removed?

Given that the media has failed to live up to “… public enlightenment is the forerunner of justice and the foundation of democracy. The duty of the journalist is to further those ends by seeking truth and providing a fair and comprehensive account of events and issues. Conscientious journalists from all media and specialties strive to serve the public with thoroughness and honesty. Professional integrity is the cornerstone of a journalist’s credibility” – should we ban everyone currently connected to media in anyway from involvement in any form in media from this point on?

Of course that would mean we would not be hearing from the Murray Dobbins either. Unless we would have exceptions – which brings us back to who decides who can and who cannot participate.

Taking away freedoms is never a solution, no matter how convenient it may sound or in fact be in the short term.

Besides it is not in the people in office or those running for office that the problems we face and the hole(s) we have dug ourselves into lie.

As Shakespeare wrote “Our remedies oft in ourselves do lie” or the more oft quoted “The fault, dear Brutus, is not in our stars, But in ourselves”.

You want to stop repeat offenders – don’t re-elect them.

There was thoughtful, public, vocal opposition, opposed to Plan A because of serious questions and reservations about the accuracy, veracity and reliability of city council’s Plan A promises and predicted (profits? etc) results. The analysis of those opposing Plan A had found city council’s promises and claims to be based on predictions that were based on assumptions that were unrealistic, wildly positive and highly unlikely to occur.

Contributing to the approval of Plan A was abuse of the democratic process. The city poured $140,000 into advertising, banned posters and literature opposed to Plan A from city property and made unlimited use of city resources and manpower in promoting Plan A, The city also abused its power and advertising budget to influence (muzzle) the coverage of this issue in local newspapers.

In fact the actions of the City of Abbotsford were judged an abuse of process so pronounced and blatant that guidelines for holding municipal referendums were created to ensure fairness in future referenda.

Still, despite the abuse of the process by the city the opposition was heard, leading to Plan A barely being approved.

The passage of time has proven those opposed to Plan were correct to be concerned, that city council’s claims, projections and promises were … inaccurate.

The point here is not that the city’s numbers were prodigiously inaccurate while the numbers of those opposed to Plan A were notably accurate. Rather the point is that careful, thoughtful and realistic analysis provided a sound projection of Plan A outcomes.

Furthermore this analysis did not require knowledge of an esoteric nature but a) knowledge of fundamental financial facts all should be aware of because these facts affect people’s day-to-day lives; b) basic mathematical skills; and c) common sense.

Arriving at an understanding of the concerns raised by the opposition required not exceptional levels of knowledge and intellectual ability. What was required for the citizens of Abbotsford to achieve an understanding was an investment time and effort.

The sad reality of Plan A is not only were voters apparently unwilling to make the investment of time and effort to understand the financial consequences of Plan A, 75% could not be bothered to vote on a matter that would have profound financial effects on Abbotsford for decades into the city’s future.

By the time of the municipal election major problems with city council’s promises and claimed results had already surfaced – and yet 6 out of 7 city councilors seeking reelection were reelected.

This was not because voters did not have alternatives – they did. Moreover the turnout to vote in the municipal election was, as usual, abysmal.

If voters are going to act in irrational ways what does it matter if you don’t let current politicians run?

The problem is not that the actions of politicians are removed from reality, doing nothing to address pressing issues or solve problems.

The problem is that people keep reelection the same politicians and political parties as if they expect the leopard to change its spots and start acting in a rational manner that addresses pressing issues and solves problems rather carrying on business as usual.

Clearly the problem with our current democratic system is not in the mechanics of how the system functions but that people are involved.

Unfortunately this unwillingness to invest time and effort in order to be able to become informed and to vote is not limited to the municipal level but extends to the provincial and federal levels.

I ran into an ardent NDP supporter of my acquaintance recently and took the opportunity to ask about how the NDP planned to replace the $1.5 billion the federal government was paying the province to implement the HST if their opposition to the HST led to the HST not being implemented. I followed up by asking about how the NDP proposed to pay for the large spending increases on Health Care and Education the Party was calling for.

It was a relief when she corrected me to $1.6 billion ($750 million [with the introduction of the enabling legislation] + $394 million [the day the HST takes effect – July 2, 2010] + $475 million [one year latter – July 2, 2011] = $1.599 billion) because I had begun to wonder if the NDP, Mr. Vander Zalm or the Media were aware of the fact that not implementing the HST would cost, reduce the funds transferred from the federal government by $1.6 billion?

My concern arising from the fact not one of the NDP, Mr. Vander Zalm or the Media seems to be addressing the cost of NOT implementing the HST.

The answer given was not in the form of “we (NDP, Mr. Vander Zalm, other HST opponents) will be raising these taxes and/or fees”, nor was it in the form of “we will be cutting these programs’ or some combination of tax and fee increases together with cuts in spending (programs).

The reply to how the NDP planned to pay for the $1.6 billion dollars lost by not implementing the HST was to inform me that “it all comes out of one pocket” as if that in any way changes the reality that the BC budget would have $1.6 billion less and that the $1.6 billion must be made up either by increasing revenue (taxes, fees) or reducing spending on Health Care and Education (with the need to cut $1.6 billion only Health Care and Education cuts can reduce spending by that large an amount) – even though that is at odds with all the NDP electioneering on increasing spending on Health Care and Education.

But then we are talking party politics were, apparently, logic, financial and economic reality have nothing to do with policy or position.

Yes, government revenues come out of the same pocket, that of the taxpayer. However those revenues do not go into the same pocket. Rather those revenue streams flow into three separate pockets – a federal pocket, a provincial pocket and a municipal pocket.

The fact that the federal pocket has $1.6 billion available doesn’t mean a thing to the provincial pocket – UNLESS that $1.6 is to be transferred to the provincial pocket. Saying no to the HST means the $1.6 billion stays in the federal pocket.

More importantly it means that when the provincial government goes to pay for the services the $1.6 billion in funds was allocated to pay for – they cannot pay.

You go into a store to buy books, clothes etc and when you look in your wallet it is empty what happens? You leave the store without the goods you want to buy. If the goods are important you could take a second job to earn the extra income needed.

Unfortunately the way governments get their spending money is out of citizens pockets. So in order to offset the $1.6 billion that not implementing the HST will cost the BC budget either the government cuts $1.6 billion in costs (services) or raises other taxes and fees by $1.6 billion.

You may have noticed the nasty kicker in the “it’s all one pocket” argument the NDP supporter made.

In rejecting the HST the $1.6 billion stays in the federal pocket for them to spend. Does anyone think they are about to give that money back to taxpayers? If so, I have some lovely land in Florida to sell you. No, if we are extremely lucky the $1.6 billion will be used to reduce the federal deficit. Most likely, given the political situation in Ottawa, the federal Conservative government will find some way to spend it promoting the Conservatives electability. Something along the lines of the taxpayer funded Conservative party advertising labeled ‘Canada’s Economic Plan’.

Deficit or political pork barreling it leaves the BC provincial government short $1.6 billion. The only provincial programs large enough to ‘fund’ $1.6 billion in cuts are Health Care and Education. Given the caterwauling going over Health Care and Education in the current budget the provincial government will be motivated NOT to make the cuts necessary to offset the $1.6 billion revenue loss/shortfall.

This leaves raising taxes/revenues to cover the $1.6 billion shortage.

**** I acknowledge the BC government could increase the provincial deficit by $1.6 billion, but in the economic climate of today such a course of action will result in negative economic consequences proportional to or exceeding the $1.6 billion. ****

Which leaves BC taxpayers paying the $1.6 billion twice – once to the federal government (the pocket it is in and will stay in) and once to the BC provincial government were it is spent on the programs the original $1.6 billion was slated to pay for OR paying through $1.6 billion in health care and education cuts.

As a final cruel, ironic adding of insult to injury remember that most of the $1.6 billion dollars that would have gone into BC’s coffers for implementing the HST would have consisted of dollars that came mainly out of the pockets of other Canadians.

In rejecting the HST BC taxpayers are choosing to turn down the $1+ billion portion that came out of the pockets of Canadians who do not live in BC, turn down the repatriation of the balance of the $1.6 billion that came out of the pockets of BC taxpayers and to be out of pocket an additional $1.6 billion to replace the $1.6 billion in federal funds lost by not implementing the HST.

Makes the victory claimed by the anti-HST forces pretty much a Pyrrhic victory, does it not?

I can understand the public’s anger at the Liberals and the desire for revenge on the Liberals on the part of both the NDP and Mr. Vander Zalm.

Given the number of memorials I have attended this year for people whose deaths are in part or in full the result of policies of the Liberal government, the needless damage and suffering the policies of the Liberal government continue to cause and the increasing levels of misery, poverty, illness and even death the policy choices and actions of the Liberal Party will give rise to in the coming years I have issues and a passionate anger with the behavior of the Liberal party.

However as part of getting into recovery from mental illness I had to deal with the propensity of Adult Children of Alcoholism to be masters of self sabotage, to avoid self-destructive behavior.

Avoiding self-destructive behavior is why, while I would love to see the Liberal government and Gordon Campbell get a figurative kick in the ass, I am not willing to do it at the cost that will result from ‘punishing’ or ‘teaching a lesson’ to Gordon Campbell and his Liberals through a rejection of the HST.

Being motivated by anger (taxpayers) or the need for revenge (political foes) and acting out of anger or pursuing revenge in a way that would damage citizens and the province more than the Liberals is, to be blunt, not only childish but extremely foolish if not out-and-out reckless.

One expects politicians (the NDP, Vander Zalm et al) to be focused on their own needs (revenge, scoring political points) and pursuit of those needs, rather than the best course of action for the citizens of BC.

But the people of BC cannot allow their own anger or the desire of political opponents for revenge to dictate their actions vis-à-vis the HST.

The cost to taxpayers pocketbooks or to Health Care and Education of engaging in a fit of self-destructive pique with the Liberal government, is simply too high. However bitter, the HST is a pill that must be swallowed by the citizens of BC.

I don’t expect the NDP, Vander Zalm et al to be capable of passing by the opportunity for revenge and scoring political points since.

Indeed, knowing the $$$ costs and the potential for significant negative impacts on both Health Care and Education the NDP is pursuing their anti-HST campaign without outlining in what manner, if any, they would offset the need for significant cuts to Health Care and Education.

Questioning how the NDP proposed to offset the negative costs and effects of not implementing the HST while at the same time funding all the additional spending on Health Care and Education the NDP have been calling for since the budget was brought down, resulted in a list (Olympics, convention center, new ferries built abroad, etc) of financial misadventures of the liberals.

When I enquired what the sins of the Liberals had to do with how the NDP was going to pay for not implementing the HST and the increased spending on Health Care and Education they were advocating in response to the cuts forced by the Liberal budget I moved into the category of those who a political discussion with was a ‘waste of time”.

I asked and courteously received an acknowledged that she had assumed, from the fact I stayed focused on how the NDP proposed to cover the costs of increased Health Care and Education spending and also cover the cost of not implementing the HST, I was a Liberal supporter. When I stated I was not a Liberal supporter I was dismissed as a Green or Conservative supporter.

I earned a snort from saying that at this point I felt none of the current provincial (or federal) political parties had demonstrated they deserved, or had the ability and vision, to form the next government.

Listening to the list of financial ‘sins’ committed by the Liberals I was struck by a sense of déjà vu. The Liberals originally came to power in BC on a list of financial ‘sins’ committed by the NDP. The last election was about which party had committed, or would commit if elected, the most financial and other ‘sins’.

When faced with questions of how the parties and politicians propose to pay for their promises, whether the Liberal’s Olympics or the NDP’s rejection of the HST agreement with the federal government, what voters get is a list of the ‘sins’ of the other parties.

Our elections, both federally and provincially, are not about policies, answering voter’s questions or about why you should vote for a particular party. Elections have become about scare tactics, bogeymen, why you should not vote for the other party or parties and a list of the sins of the other party or parties.

Provincially and federally I am in the position many Canadians find themselves, without a party to support because none of the politicians and parties are about articulating a vision for Canada (or BC); they focus on telling you why you shouldn’t vote for the other parties not on points of policy but on the basis of past ‘sins’ and scare tactics based on future sins; none of the parties seems to understand or grasp the real world, especially in terms of the financial realities of today and the future as well as the needs and social fabric of Canadians and Canada.

I am not alone in this view of having no party that reflects my views of the priorities and policies that are needed, federally and provincially, to provide the leadership and governance Canada needs at this time of change.

I know this because, after finishing the paragraph about being without a party to support I ‘prorogued’ writing to allow a trip to the Library to return materials and to pick up two items on hold for me. While at the library I ran into an acquaintance and extended the prorogation to share a coffee.

Our conversation began with the current state of the Mental Health system, the difficulties one has accessing the system, the current rationing of mental health services and the current ‘horror show’ state of affairs that exists at the psychiatric ward of Abbotsford’s new Regional Hospital. Not surprising this conversation led to the current government’s policies, political parties and the political situation in general.

It developed that my partner in conversation had also been rendered party-less at the federal level by the actions of the traitor from the Maritimes, he whose name should never be spoken, betrayer of the Progressive Conservative Party, members, supporters, voters and Canadians.

We both feel that there is a need for policies to help those Canadians most in need of help, that people (housing, poverty, mental health, etc) are more important than things (bridges, Olympic venues) and that there is no reason government cannot be socially responsible while being fiscally responsible.

My acquaintance used fiscally conservative, which was the term I used before the federal Conservative party took the words responsible, thoughtful, balanced and fair out of what people now think of when you use the term Conservative in reference to fiscal/budget policy.

The current Conservative party is many things when it comes to budget and fiscal policy but they are not in any way conservative, balanced, fair or most especially responsible.

We spoke of the fact that not only are the Liberals and Conservatives doing great damage to the social fabric of the province and county but that, despite their claims to be fiscally responsible, their pursuit of their ideology is inflicting financial damage that puts Canada’s and Canadian’s financial future at risk.

We agreed that until such time as the NDP get both their fiscal policy and financial house in order, they undermine their policy agenda. That a government needs solid financial footing to fund needed social policies and programs.

Remember that it was the BC NDP who first began the demise of the Income Assistance system (currently Housing and Social Development) trying to balance (reduce the deficit) the budget. Agreeing that before we could vote NDP the party would have to strengthen its right (financial) wing.

We shuddered at the thought of the provincial Conservatives and Randy White and the damage, both socially and financially, they would inflict on the province.

We agreed that the Green party is the one current party that has promise, but that the party needs to get its financial house/ wing in order as well as attracting some solid, mature candidates.

We lamented the fact that at this time there is no party whose policy is to deliver good governance, help to the most vulnerable Canadians, ethical behaviour, to raise issues that Canadians need to discuss and address even though Canadians want to avoid thinking about or addressing these issues, provide leadership and deliver responsible and sustainable financial management.

Finally we spoke of the need for a new fiscally responsible, socially progressive, cognizant of the fiscal reality the majority of Canadians live with daily and, perhaps most importantly, aware that the world has changed and that fiscal policy needs to reflect the fiscal realities Canada faces – not what used to be or what a political party’s ideology imagines the world to be. Or the need for responsible citizens to run as independents in order to put an end to so many voters being forced to vote for the lesser of evils; giving voters the ability to vote for policies and MP’s instead of holding our nose and making the least objectionable choice.

Without change in the behaviour of voters, simply denying the current crop of politicians the right to run for office will change nothing. The parties will simply present a new crop of candidates no better (hopefully no worse) than the current bunch and the status quo will remain unchanged. As friend of mine said, our current politicians are like vermin – you get rid of one and five more pop up as replacements.

Only a change in behaviour on the part of voters can effect a change in the governance of municipalities, provinces and at the federal level. I need to amend that statement. A change in voter behaviour is required to bring about change in a controlled manner.

To quote from the Abbotsford Today article: In a very insightful column in the Vancouver Sun Monday, entitled “Consumers are in denial with social crisis looming“, Murray Dobbin, of the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives, argues that, in terms of consumer debt, our current ‘consumer madness’ indicates “An almost wilful denial of reality.”

Optimists may have imagined that the current combination of inconvenient truths would cause people to pause and re-examine their habits.”

I would not have considered myself an optimist but, I admit that I had hoped as reality, particularly the fiscal/resource reality that governments around the world are bumping up against, began to assert itself people would be forced to “pause and re-examine their habits.

It is becoming clearer that Mr. Dobbin is correct – such a hope is optimistic.

The evidence of behaviour indicates people have, ostrich-like, buried their heads so deeply in the sands of a “wilful denial of reality” that only when reality forces large tax increases or deep cuts to favourite programs like medical care or Old Age Security will Canadians and their politicians be forced to pull their heads out of … the sand.

The problem with that is, when you reach the point where reality asserts itself and forces action, it is extremely painful; as demonstrated by what is taking place in Greece.

Financial reality has asserted itself and Greece finds itself insolvent and needing a bailout from other members of the European Economic Community to avoid an economic disaster. As part of the bailout the Greek government has been forced to impose painful financial and economic budget cuts to government spending.

How did Greek citizens react to these austerity measures? Unbelief, a denial of reality so strong that it has lead to strikes demanding the Greek government go back to ‘business as usual’. Even when faced with the evidence of their economic crisis, the need for Greece to be bailed out by other members of the EEC, most Greek citizens continue to deny reality considering it to be some kind of government plot so as to impose austerity measures.

Lest Canadians feel that they would not be that unrealistic – have you heard the radio ads running that urge people demand the government change CPP so that everyone can enjoy a golden retirement. People are finding that the changes in the Canadian and world economies mean they cannot comfortably save enough money to retire on.

Increasingly those who have already retired are finding themselves pinching pennies, purchasing only those goods and services necessary to live and/or forced to go to work part-time to be able to pay the bills. Increasing numbers of people are realizing that their retirement income will have them on strict budgets cannot afford to. Increasing numbers of people are facing the reality that they will never be able to afford to retire on the levels of retirement income the are currently in line to receive.

Rather than adjusting their current spending they want the government to change CPP so that they can afford to retire. Ignoring the fact that government cannot afford to fund commitments it already has made to the public and thus simply cannot afford any major new policy initiatives. Oh yes, Canadians can be at least as unrealistic as Greek citizens.

And before Canadians pull the covers of their “wilful denial of reality” back over their heads telling themselves if could not happen in Canada they had best remember the old adage about those who do not learn from history are doomed to repeat it.

What am I referring to?

Take a minute and think about the situation Greece and its citizens find themselves in: bankrupt and needing a bailout from other countries that, as a condition of the bailout, require the imposition of harsh austerity measures by the government. Sound familiar?

Sounds eerily similar to the financial crisis situation that South American countries (and other countries around the globe) found themselves in – unable to pay or service their debt they had to be bailed out by the IMF (International Monetary Fund).

At the time it was dismissed as being a problem confined to the developing world/nations. Developed nations, such as Greece (and Portugal and Spain), rested secure in the knowledge that it was ‘third world’ problem and not an early warning sign of changing world economic and resource realities.

I recognize that as part of the “wilful denial of reality” most Canadians are in denial about what is happening in Greece serving as an early warning for Canadians to get their financial house in order. Instead of seeing Greece as a cautionary tale that financial reality will exert itself at some point, that while nations/countries can put off the day of reckoning longer than individuals or corporations a day of reckoning will come, the majority of Canadians are telling themselves “that is just Greece, you know how those Europeans are’.

Just as it was “just the developing countries, you know how the third world is”.

For those still clinging to this has nothing to do with Canada just look at the effect the situation in Greece had on the Canadian Dollar which plunged from parity with (briefly above) the US dollar to 0.92 cents against the US dollar. A response as investors flee to the perceive safety of the US dollar; a response that may well prove to be loonie.

Loonie because the assumption of the safety of the US dollar is of questionable validity – a rather sobering thought.

There are a number of economists, economic and financial thinkers who are not wedded to the established models of economic thought because they believe that the reality that that these models and modes of thinking, such as unlimited growth, are based on has changed. That, logic and mounting evidence suggests the traditional, accepted economic realities upon which we are planning and managing municipal, provincial, national and the world economy no longer exist.

People blame tax increases for the fact that, year after year and decade to decade their pay cheques do not go as far or purchase the goods and services they did. People assume that the reason that their pay cheque does not purchase the goods and services it did last year is that someone (government) is taking more (taxes) out of their cheque so that they have less dollars to spend than they did the prior year or in years prior to that.

Recently I was at an economics lecture where it was pointed out that tax rates have dropped for both rich people and poor people over the last 15 years. That there were big declines in marginal tax rates for rich people 56% in 1994 to 45% in 2008.

If taxes are falling then why do people feel they have less money to spend? Because while taxes have gone down and they have more dollars to spend, the goods and services those dollars will purchase are less than the goods and services that a lesser number of dollars purchased the year before.

This widespread but misplaced blame on taxes has consequences. This misplaced blame results in fiscal policies focused not on what are the actual problems or issues in the Canadian economy, but on what citizens (and politicians) think is the problem. The consequences of this are threefold.

First, time and resources are spent not on addressing the actual problems or issues, but elsewhere. It is all but impossible to solve problems or issues when you are not aware they are the problems and issues you need to be addressing. The actual issues and problems remain untouched when one is focused on solving problems and issues that are not really problems or issues or are not the problems and issues you need to be focused on.

Second, the actions taken in seeking solutions to the incorrect set of problems or issues can, and often does, worsen or exacerbate the true problems and issues. Additionally trying to solve the wrong problems or issues can give rise to new problems and issues.

Third, it can lead to incorrect voting decisions. If voters believe that taxes are responsible for reducing the amount of goods and services they can obtain this incorrect belief will influence, may well dictate, how they vote.

A major tenet of the federal Conservative Party’s ideology is that tax cuts are a solution to economic issues and problems or perhaps that should read any tax cut is a good tax cut. Voters, believing that increasing taxes are the reason the amount of goods and services they can purchase is falling proceed to vote Conservative. The Conservatives proceed to cut taxes and the voters … find that the amount of goods and services they can purchase has gone down yet again.

Because we are dealing with human beings, this further reduction on the goods and services they can purchase seems to convince people that somehow taxes must have gone up and what is needed is further tax cuts; even as they are demanding more (ie shorter wait times for operation, more prisons to lock up repeat offenders) from the government.

So policies are based on what is, incorrectly, perceived as the problem and upon the party in power’s ideology (currently the federal Conservatives and Liberals provincially.) The result is policies that are not based on solving what the problems and issues are but upon what are perceived and/or believed to be the problems and issues.

Take a look around the province and the country and you see the consequences of basing policies on perception and believe instead of Reality.

The amount of goods and services Canadians can purchase continues to fall rather than increase. Meanwhile homelessness, those living in poverty and the numbers of poor Canadians increase significantly. Government policies over the past several decades have resulted in what one wants to rise (wealth) falling and what one wants to fall (poverty levels) rising.

A Caveat about government policies having resulted in a decrease of wealth for Canadians: while it is true that government policy resulted in a reduction in wealth for an overwhelming percentage of Canadians these policies did result in significant wealth increases for a small percentage of Canadians. This wealth increase was not the result in an increase of the net wealth of Canadians but the transfer wealth from other Canadians, including the poorest, to the wealthiest Canadians.

Might I suggest a change in behaviour and policy is in order. Or we could continue the insanity of doing what we are doing, pursuing the government polices we have been pursuing and hoping for a different outcome.

Personally, I think the most like course of action to result in different, more desirable, outcomes is to change the behaviour.

While thinking that over here are a few more points to ponder.

Prior to our current economic challenges BC, indeed Canada, enjoyed a long and strong (labelled by governments as the longest and strongest ever) boom. What did the boom bring about?

Increased homelessness, poverty, child poverty, loss of housing affordability, loss of traditional middle class, living wage jobs which were replaced by 20 hour minimum wage jobs; this is what government policies brought about when we were in a boom – as the Canadian and worldwide economy struggles to adjust to $200 a barrel oil and other economic realities, it is frightening to contemplate: if that was what our government policies caused in boom conditions what will those policies cause under far less favourable circumstances?

When is a tax cut not really a tax cut? When the money you receive from this ‘tax cut’ will have to be repaid plus interest. The federal Conservatives financed their ‘tax cuts’ with borrowed money (deficits). As a result Canadians will have to repay not only the amount of money they ‘received’ but will also have to repay the interest costs of the money. Doesn’t seem to be much of a tax cut to me?

The emerging school of thought holds that we need to change our traditional, business as usual, economic thinking, planning and managing to reflect new realities – or suffer increased pain as a result of the fallout from the discrepancy between what we insist is economic reality versus the actual economic reality.

This new reality includes concern that the US economy has dug itself into a financial and economic hole from which it cannot, in any non-(extremely)painful, non-drastic manner recover; that the US economy is being sustained on its size and momentum, the established behaviours and beliefs of not only investors but of countries and of course denial of what is (or would be) a potentially disastrous situation.

This view suggests that countries need to get their financial behaviours, financial houses, in order so as to strengthen their economies, putting them on a solid footing to minimize the pain and fallout as the economic reality the world is in fact in, asserts itself and imposes adjustment to reality upon the world economies.

Denial, right up until you hit the brick wall of Reality, is oft a far more comfortable place to dwell that is reality.

Unfortunately, an extremely painful unfortunately, the comfortable bubble of denial will not, cannot, protect us from the SPLAT of hitting the brick wall of Reality.

Our economic and financial behaviour is like the skier on the opening of ABC’s Wide World of Sports, racing out of control.

We can choose either to suffer the ‘agony of defeat’ – the SPLAT – when reality exerts itself OR we can manage the pain by “pause and re-examine” moving out of our current state of a “wilful denial of reality” and making thoughtful, intelligent and rational policy choices.

In the final analysis simply changing the current crop of politicians for a new crop of ‘the same old’ politicians and political behaviour; tinkering with the electoral system (proportional representation etc); will change nothing.

Ultimately the responsibility and the ability for good government is in the hands, the votes, of the public and until such time as the public becomes willing to engage in a discussion/debate of reality, as opposed to their far more comfortable “wilful denial of reality”, Canada, Canadian society, the Canadian economy and indeed the future of Canada are going to continue in an accelerating downward spiral.

We can Think or Sink; no longer having the excess resources to allow us to deny reality and put off a financial reckoning, we must Choose to take our fate, however uncomfortable, in our hands or be Victims of fate and the dictates of economic forces we will have sacrificed our ability to exert influence upon by our insistence in dwelling in the land of denial and a “wilful denial of reality”.

Harper’s latest Senate appointment.

The Conservative Party’s Canada – where, if you are a businessman who can afford to own two Canadian Football League teams and to make large contributions to the Conservative Party, you can procure a seat in the Canadian Senate.

Not really surprising in light of the Conservative Party’s oft demonstrated policy of  increasing the Wealth of wealthy Canadians via policies that transfer resources not to Canadians and Canadian children in poverty, homelessness or need but to those Canadians in Greed. Whether it is by regressive tax policies, being ‘unable to afford’ housing or anti-poverty programs while being able to afford bailouts, subsidies, exceptions, grants or Senate appointments for businesses and the wealthy

Before we leave the subject of the Conservatives lack of ethics and the Senate, it is surprising Mr. Harper did not suffer severe whiplash from his abrupt change vis-à-vis the Canadian Senate.

Mr. Harper called for abolishment, for an elected Senate and condemned the Liberal government’s appointment and use of the Senate when Conservatives were not in power and the Senate was not of any use or advantage to the Conservatives.

But as soon as it was to the advantage of Mr. Harper and his Conservatives we were treated to the spectacle of Mr. Harper, who came to office stating he would never appoint senators, appointing 33 senators – to date

True Mr. Harper made several excuses for his massive about face on this matter; just as he did when, after having attacked the Liberal government on MP pensions when in opposition, Mr. Harper and his Conservatives bellied up to the trough to pig out on the same taxpayer funded golden pensions for MPS.

Interesting lack of an ethical center.

These are the same Harper Conservatives who recently tried to engineer a quick vote on Bill C-304, a private member’s bill calling for “secure, adequate and affordable housing for Canadians.”, in order to scuttle the bill.

The disappointing behaviour here is that of the three other parties in parliament in not getting behind and supporting this bill and a gravely need national housing strategy.

After all this is a Conservative government that, while it claims it has ‘no money’ for a national housing plan (or addressing child poverty), has unlimited millions (hundreds of millions?), for an advertising campaign promoting the Conservative party and paid for by Canadian taxpayers.

There is nothing wrong with political parties blowing their own horns – that’s part of the political process. But the cost of a party blowing its own horn is a cost that should, no must, be paid for out of the coffers of the party, not out of the coffers of the federal government and thus the pockets of Canadian taxpayers.

Sticking a label such as “Canada’s Economic Action Plan” on the spending  does not change the fundamental nature of what the advertising campaign is about – promoting the image and fortunes of the federal Conservative party.

No money for housing or child poverty but the Conservatives can find seemingly unlimited taxpayer $$$$ to pay for advertising to promote the Conservative government.

Interesting set of priorities and rather malleable ethics – ethics that shift to accommodate the circumstances the Conservative government finds to its advantage.

Given that that the Conservative Party likes to hold itself up as the judge and defender of moral behaviour and morality in Canada one has to wonder just what kind of definitions they are using for ‘moral’ and  ‘morality’. Clearly whatever the definitions the Conservatives are using do not include pesky concepts such as ethics, honour, character or the distinction between right and wrong.

While this type of unprincipled behaviour is behaviour as usual for Mr. Harper and his Conservative Party, I was somewhat surprised, based on what I knew of Mr. David Braley from his ownership of the BC Lions, that he allowed himself to be appointed. Although I suppose, upon taking time to consider his $$$$ support of the Conservatives and their behaviours and policies, it really is no surprise.

True ethics are not something that change when convenient. Indeed, true ethics often are inconvenient because they get in the way of what would be a convenient action or behaviour.

Ethics that change when convenient are many things – but they are not ethics.

Lack of ethics is a behaviour that results from seeking to govern simply to push an ideology or to be the party in power. Because in either case,  the operating principles and behaviours of the parties involved are about winning power and holding power. Ethical or honourable behaviours are tossed overboard in favour of whatever it takes to win. Actually any behaviour, such as MPs listening to the constituents they represent instead of mindlessly obeying the Prime Minister, that interferes with winning are rejected.

Yet the moment one becomes unwilling to lose on a matter of principle or ethics, that ones ethics become malleable or that one justifies doing whatever is necessary to obtain or retain power by claiming it is ‘for the good of the country’ one’s actions have ceased to be about delivering leadership and effective governance and one becomes part of the problem.

The current focus of governments and politicians at all levels in Canada is about advancing an ideology, being in power and  winning at any cost, about divide and conquer, pitting differing interest groups against each other; it is not about good government, building a strong Canada or a fair, balanced, understanding  and cosmopolitan society.

None of our current politicians and political parties have promulgated an ethos of what it is to be Canadian or articulated a vision for Canada and Canadian society.

It is time for a discussion of what it is to be Canadian, the type of society we want to have and how we as Canadians will achieve that vision.

It is pass time to stop allowing politicians to tell us why we cannot bring about the Canada we want and to support leadership that is about bringing the Canada we want into being.

Or most Canadians will find themselves entitled only to the rights and freedoms they can afford to buy.

Why was anyone surprised?

This is a mayor and council who swore up and down they would not be helping subsidize the travel costs for AHL teams to travel to Abbotsford – and then proceeded to do exactly that. A mayor and council who maintain their willful blindness, insisting that it is the Heat who subsidize the visiting AHL teams travel costs and that the council’s multimillion dollar yearly subsidy of the Heat has nothing to do with the Heat’s ability to subsidize travel costs for visiting teams.

A mayor and council who had Global Spectrum act as their agent vis-à-vis the agreement between the city and the Heat in order to sidestep the provincial municipal statutes that prohibited this type of agreement. A prohibition intended to protect citizens by preventing municipal governments from putting the taxpayer on the hook for paying a potential liability such as the $73 million guarantee given the Heat ownership.

And when citizens questioned this action the mayor replied – so sue us; a mayor who berated Chilliwack’s mayor for grandstanding when she declined free Olympic tickets on the grounds of ethics.

With a municipal election next year, the mess, misery and financial woes council have afflicted upon the voters is it any surprise politicians would not want to put at risk political donations from businesses?

Given that if Mayor Peary and Councilor Smith had not voted in favour of the developer the developer’s proposal would have been defeated 4 – 3 rather than approved 4 – 5 (3 + Peary + Smith).

Why was anyone surprised that, even with the clear conflict of interest of having received political contributions from the developer, Mayor Peary and Councilor Smith voted in favour of the developer and the development?

If only.

That was the thought that crossed my mind in reading Abbotsford City Councilor John Smith’s comments concerning the incinerator.

Councilor John Smith: “There is a cost to everything … at the end of the day, decisions are based on economic reality.”

If only that were true … the taxpayers of Abbotsford would not be groaning under the fiscal burden of: an Arena that cost nearly twice what was promised in enticing citizens to vote yes, million+ dollar arena operating losses where taxpayers were promised operating profits and multi-million dollar subsidies to the owners of a professional hockey team were politicians promised during the last municipal election bribes (aka subsidizes) would not be paid to seduce a team to play in the new arena.

Councilor John Smith: “Up until now, we have been dealing with emotion. Let’s now take a look at the cost,”

If only that were true … let us review the history of the Abbotsford Entertainment & Sports Centre. The pending arrival of the Bruins in Chilliwack had the Chiefs seeking a new home and in that regard approaching the city council of Abbotsford proposing a partnership to build a new arena as the new home for the Chief’s – a successful team with an established fan base in the Fraser Valley.

Remember city council’s response? That the city did not need a new arena … and don’t let the door hit you in the ass on your way out of town.

Then suddenly council felt the need to not only build an arena but to build a bigger, fancier arena than the arena in Chilliwack or the new arena under construction as the new home of the Langley Chiefs.

Why after brushing off the Chiefs and their offer to partner with Abbotsford in building a new arena did council suddenly feel the need to build, on speculation and without a tenant such as the cavalierly dismissed Chiefs, not simply an arena but an arena that was bigger than those of Chilliwack and Langley?

Why, when it would have been cheaper to leave the arena without a team did council burden taxpayers with a further liability of $73 million? The attendance and results of this first year of operation suggest that taxpayers will be fortunate if they only end up paying out $20 million of the $73 million liability assumed on their behalf by council.

No responsible person, no responsible city council, would have made the decisions that Abbotsford’s city council using cost as the basis of the decision.

Only emotion can account for the complete disregard of economic reality in building the arena or in signing the agreement that the City of Abbotsford entered into with the Heat team ownership. Well … I suppose a complete lack of even an infinitesimal scrap of financial common sense or substance use could also account for such a divorce from economic reality.

Of course “Let’s now take a look at the cost,” only works if you do your homework. That way you can avoid failing to include costs necessary to maintain the warranty on jungle gym equipment – markedly improving the accuracy of ‘estimated costs’ and lessening the number of 100% cost overruns or losses in place of promised profits.

While he hopes an unbiased analysis of the numbers will show incineration is not cost-efficient, (Councilor John) Smith says he would oppose the WTE (waste to energy), even if it was cost-friendly.

Aha! Now that statement reflects the actual way that Abbotsford’s current council acts – if fiscal reality does not support the action you want to undertake – ignore the financial facts/reality and do whatever it is you want, pursue your priorities and ignore the cost to the city, its citizens and taxpayers.

Council pursuing its own priorities, no matter how inappropriate or costly to taxpayers those priorities are, is how you end up with the city being “unable” to afford to subsidize minor amateur hockey in Abbotsford by $9,500 while “able’ to afford to subsidize professional hockey and the ownership of the professional team by $3,000,000 (approximately, considering direct subsidy to the team and the indirect subsidy of arena operating costs).

Councilor’s personal priorities is why the minor hockey rate increase proceed “as it was necessary to cover operational cost increases” while the professional team does not cover any, much less increases, of the operating costs of their arena.

Council’s priorities have resulted in the city imposing double digit fee increases for the use of city recreation fields and facilities over the past several years; increases that have resulted in an increasing number of families being unable to afford their children’s participation in youth sports and recreational activities.

As a grandfather of my acquaintance was lamenting – the cost of baseball for his grandson has gone from $45 to $100 over the past three years making affordability an issue for his family.

It is not just children who have been affected by these double digit fee increases. Lack of affordability resulted in me no longer being able to afford a pool pass; for the first time in my long residence in Abbotsford I found myself without a pass and dealing with the negative physical and mental health consequences of not being able to swim as needed.

Personally my priorities dictate that fees for fields and facilities should not be being raised ever higher in order to have funds to subsidize a professional hockey team and the council ego project better known as the Abbotsford Entertainment & Sports Centre.

Why is it that Parks and Recreation spent $135,000 (plus however much they went over budget) to buy used jungle gym equipment (to be rented out to those who can afford the rental cost) instead of spending the funds on repairs to Matsqui Village pool?

That the Langley Museum has a perfectly fine utilitarian electronic sign and ARC had to have a costly fancy, bells and whistles electronic sign to impart information undoubtedly reflects the differing priorities of Langley’s council versus Abbotsford’s council and explains why Abbotsford’s taxpayers paid $90+ million for an arena comparable to the arena Langley’s taxpayers paid $15 million for.

Abbotsford’s council needs healthy priorities, an ability to plan for the needs of Abbotsford and avoid problems rather than stumbling from mess to quagmire to disaster. A little financial and personal discipline would be nice and would go a long way to stop council and staff from digging the hole they have dug the city into ever deeper.

If only …

Not as simple as a Heat/Moose switch

Re: the Manitoba Moose

I must agree with Mr. Redekop that the attendance at the Heat playoff games is ominous news for the future of the pocketbooks of the taxpayers of Abbotsford.

It bodes ill for future attendance at Heat games that even with the marked advantage of novelty with this being the first year for the Heat in Abbotsford, that in their first year the Heat made the AHL playoffs and that AHL playoff games have never been available west of Winnipeg before the Heat are drawing poorly.

The fact that attendance is lackluster under such favourable circumstances strongly suggests that, under the terms of the 10 year agreement council entered into with the ownership of the Heat, the taxpayers of Abbotsford will have to pour millions of more taxpayer dollars into the coffers of the Heat ownership.

Just as an aside Mr. Redekop: if the Heat ownership was in fact “… community minded, generous …” they would have assumed at least some of the risk associated with the ownership of an AHL hockey team rather than foisting all the risk off onto Abbotsford’s already overburdened taxpayers.

While I concede that the Moose would perform better that the Heat, how could they not, the view expressed in Mr. Redekop’s letter strikes me as viewing this possibility through the same rose coloured glasses the mayor and council wore when they committed city taxpayers to the overly generous agreement signed with the Heat ownership.

The attendance dynamic of a single yearly visit by the Canucks farm team is markedly different from the dynamic when there are numerous opportunities to catch a game over the course of a season. The fact that during their one visit the Moose drew full houses does not mean they will fill the arena for every home game.

The attendance at this year’s playoff games is probably a better predictor of a realistic attendance level over a season than the attendance at ‘the only chance this year to see the Moose’.

It is important to be realistic because I doubt that “the win-win situation for all parties should require no payment by anyone.”

What I mean by this is:

If the Heat remain in Abbotsford and attendance follows the historical patterns/trends the taxpayers of Abbotsford are looking at contributing 2 – 3 million dollars a year over the remaining 9 years of the agreement council signed with the Heat; a total of 18 – 27 million dollars.

If Mr. Redekop’s assumption of full attendance if the Moose were exchanged for the Heat was correct that would mean taxpayers would save $18 – $27 million over the term of the agreement between the City and Heat ownership.

Let us use the lower $18 million as the amount that taxpayers would save. That means it is worth $18 million to the taxpayers of Abbotsford to have the Moose as Abbotsford’s AHL team. Thus the ownership of the Moose has a team with a value of $18,000,000.00 in respect to moving the Moose to Abbotsford.

Sound business practices dictate that the Moose ownership should charge $18,000,000.00 to exchange franchises/teams given that that amount is the value of the savings to the Abbotsford taxpayers of exchanging franchises/teams.

However should the assumption of full attendance turn out to be another of the ‘rose coloured glasses’ mirages sold to the Abbotsford public and the ‘they are here all season long’ attendance prove to be not significantly higher than the Heats current attendance then the value of the exchange of the Heat for the Moose has a $0.00 value. A value significantly lower than the $18,000,000.00 value under Mr. Redekop’s full attendance assumption.

Although it would be in keeping with the mismanagement of this matter by Abbotsford council to date, it would be rather unwise to pay $18,000,000.00 for an exchange of franchises/teams that in fact has a zero value.

The large difference between these values is why it is so important that any projections as to the benefit of having the Moose as the team in Abbotsford be realistic and reasonably accurate.

‘The Winnipeg Heat owners would win because …’ again a ‘rose coloured glasses’ view of the situation.

Hockey is taken very seriously on the prairies and rivalries are heated. Calgary and Winnipeg have a rivalry established when the Jets were Winnipeg’s NHL team. There was no love lost between Winnipeg (Jets) and Calgary (Flames) when they were NHL rivals. This situation was not improved when Winnipeg lost its NHL team but Calgary and its oil money held onto the Flames.

The ownership of the Winnipeg AHL team would be taking a not insignificant risk that a Calgary affiliated team would tap into old feelings and be rejected by the fans.

On the prairies it is Toronto that is despised; Vancouver is simply la-la land.

It is in the statement ‘The Canucks would also be big winners’ that I feel both the biggest fallacy and barrier in regards to an exchange of franchises/teams lies.

Whether the Moose games are sell-outs or not is of no interest to the Canucks as they have no financial interest in the attendance at Moose games.

The interest of the Canucks in the Moose is not in the ability of the Moose franchise to make money but in the ability of the Moose to develop the skills and abilities of players to the level that enables them to play and contribute to the NHL Canucks.

It is in order to preserve the ability of the Moose to develop Canucks prospects to the level of playing and contributing at the NHL level I suspect the Canucks would block any attempt to move their farm team from Winnipeg to Abbotsford. I certainly would if I was running the Canucks organization.

In Winnipeg the Moose are simply a AHL team and subject to no unusual media attention.

If the Moose were relocated to Abbotsford the team, coaches and players would be caught up in the Canucks media circus/frenzy. This intense, constant media attention would interfere with the ability of coaches and players to focus on hockey, player and skills development.

Given that the fortunes of the Canucks depend on the ability of the Moose to develop players, perhaps more importantly have players ready to step into the Canucks line-up and produce (injuries etc.), I would certainly not want to move the Moose into a market where these functions would be compromised or impaired.

I would expect that for these reasons, as well as several other issues that come to mind, the Canucks would be opposed to a move of their AHL farm (player development) team into Abbotsford.

While having the Moose (the Canucks farm team) as Abbotsford’s AHL team is an idea worth exploring, I have serious reservations that it would be either the cure all or slam dunk Mr. Redekop envisions.

I am not saying it is not a possibility to be explored. I am solidly in favour of anything that will reduce how much of the $65,700,000 liability city council has put taxpayers on the hook for that the taxpayer’s of Abbotsford end up having to pay out.

What I am saying is not to rush into something based on the ‘rosy glasses view’ and promises of success.

That’s what happened with the new arena and what created this financial quagmire. Unlike council and their supporters I am a firm believer that when you find yourself in a hole you do not keep digging yourself in ever deeper, creating ever larger costs that the taxpayers are on the hook to pay for.